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(10/03/08)
Mandated
Sacrifices to the Financial Gods
On
the day after the financial bailout went down in the US House, the
President warned us again of the terrible economic catastrophe that
may well over-take us if this bill doesnt pass the upcoming
time. ABC News treated us to still more explanations of what a credit
crunch is and the effects that it has on our household budgets and
on our families. John McCain suggested that we stop calling it a
bailout and call it instead a rescue package,
as if the problem
was that it hadnt been marketed well, and thats why
so many of the people were opposed to their tax dollars going to
save the bankers. (from themselves, mainly.)
And, now, four days after the cosmetically altered bailout went
down in the House, it's been to the Senate where its size was altered
at least 10 fold, and is coming up again in the house, no doubt
with more cosmetic alterations. It should not pass; at the core
of it, beyond the cosmetics, it's still the same extortion scheme,
as it has been all along. The bankers can gamble away in the big
casino we mistake for the whole economy, and when the game gets
out of hand, the taxpayer is supposed to come along and make it
alright again.
Yes,
the credit crunch ABC News likes to explain is real, but it goes
way beyond the bad mortgages weve been hearing so much about.
The credit crunch is that the whole system is maxed out. The national
debt is currently in excess of $9.8 trillion dollars, and if the
Paulson plan is passed, it could grow well beyond that, requiring
a fifth increase in the ceiling during the Bush administration.
Of course, there is also corporate debt and consumer debt on top
of that. Corporate default, according to Standard and Poors,
is headed for a thirty year high, perhaps by 2010. Consumer bankruptcy
is on the rise, despite the bankruptcy law and the changes in Chapter
7 filing. Health emergencies are the leading cause in half of them.
What
we really have is a credit crunch within a credit crunch. The latter
one being the quite scary situation in which we are maxed
out, as in the movie by that title. The movie covers the bases,
both in the sub-ethical practices of much of the finance industry
and the truly staggering pile of debt we live under. If we do somehow
manage to deal with the smaller credit crunch that's in the recent
headlines, it will basically mean that the staggering pile of debt
that governs so much of everyday life will simply continue to grow
that much more
easily. That is, until it finally cannot do so.
To
bailout the bankers without providing sufficient stimulus to the
rest of the economy is an awesome error, and history will provide
a judgment on that account. Were told that, if we dont
pay off the bankers the country will slip into a severe recession,
or we could just use the d word. However, if we do pay
them off, and dont do anything for the economy, it will all
go on, for some indeterminate amount of time, quite possibly less
than we think, until it become time to use the b word
instead. Only, it will not be the bankruptcy of an ever increasing
group of individuals, but of an entire country with outstanding
debits and no longer able to qualify for any kind of loan. Bankruptcy
may well be in our future anyway, if we dont close some of
those 700 and some odd foreign bases, cancel the weapons programs
for stuff that we dont even need, and get out of Iraq, thus
saving the $10 billion a month we pay for just that. (and, if we
dont finally solve the ever growing health care crisis.) But,
bankruptcy seems a sure bet, if we make the officially mandated
sacrifice to the
financial gods, without working out a way to begin rebuilding our
economy and our country.
In
all probability the funds for the Paulson bailout would be borrowed,
which leads to an important question. Wouldnt it make more
sense, since apparently we still have one more time we can go somewhere
else on the globe hat in hand to beg for yet another loan, to use
it this time to create some value. That is, as opposed to destroying
value. Using Paulsons arbitrary back of an envelope figure,
as somewhat better than nothing, we could do some wondrous things
with it, certainly compared with saving the fortunes of some millionaire
bankers.
For
purposes of illustration, we could take $150 billion or so and create
a new deal/depression era Civilian Conservation Corps organization
to hire blue, green, and white collar workers to fix some of the
more glaring portions of our crumbling infrastructure. Another $150
billion could go to developing renewable energy, in anticipation
of shortened supplies of fossil fuels and to lessen rapidly advancing
climate change. At least $100 billion could go to beginning a process
of re-industrializing the country, not just in assembly, but in
advanced manufacturing, in such industries as energy R&D, environmental
protection, hydrology, and nanotechnology. Then, there should be
an allocation of expanded funding on some basis to the education
system, to set up programs to broaden the skill base to support
the above, and for research in all three areas.
Of
course, its no wonder that were already spent more than
half. Much of this should have been started as long ago as three
decades. In the late 70s, in periodicals such as Design
News, for example, there were articles on hybrid vehicles. The interest
was there, but as soon as the Reagan administration came into power,
the money quickly disappeared. We always seem to be able to subsidize
what's already in place, and what has very large interest constellations
to protect their right to raid the treasury, but authorize spending
on the new, and someone will always squawk about how much it costs.
Before
we begin using huge sums, like $700B, to appease high finance, we
should look at what else we need to do to further economic recovery.
Its not just about credit. Some of it is about reducing our
need for credit and reducing indebtedness. The Federal Government
pays $300B/yr just in interest on the national debt. Every dollar
not spent that way could be allocated to some other use. If we stopped
pretending that the present financial emergency
was the whole picture and looked instead at the broader credit crunch,
we could perhaps begin to dig our way out of the hole were
in. If we just had enough people thinking of the whole, instead
of how to maximize their own fortunes, and minding the store rather
than playing in their own little sandboxes, we might, just might,
be able get back to some sort of solvency again.
Comments and questions
should be forwarded to
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